Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1382.843355 1518.784878 1657.636415 1809.794626 1971.571013 2138.168551 2322.425755
2025-03-23 1188.390919 1391.417087 1607.830818 1854.558198 2126.918430 2417.290864 2749.156626
2025-03-30 1049.187114 1289.920244 1554.887319 1865.817219 2218.318480 2603.255034 3053.063213
2025-04-06 939.324654 1205.199550 1506.040048 1867.756651 2286.946137 2753.678100 3308.772423
2025-04-13 815.437830 1091.573562 1412.615797 1807.750423 2275.258505 2805.246016 3445.819725
2025-04-20 776.000475 1073.771217 1427.297715 1870.196559 2402.388558 3013.753779 3761.403153
2025-04-27 727.712420 1040.397479 1419.307066 1902.168378 2490.960217 3175.805505 4022.486887
2025-05-04 669.571668 989.948560 1386.346350 1900.194471 2535.931178 3284.421009 4219.600297
2025-05-11 612.562505 936.713688 1346.171785 1885.901771 2563.095441 3369.715958 4387.651597
2025-05-18 573.298421 903.970230 1329.529461 1898.876707 2622.080266 3492.246621 4599.876434
2025-05-25 528.594619 860.793710 1296.707304 1888.874659 2650.531388 3576.325507 4764.946089
2025-06-01 500.461361 838.519134 1289.728945 1910.807126 2718.232898 3708.145213 4988.318467
2025-06-08 457.213873 792.877472 1250.106842 1889.345683 2730.826118 3772.832620 5131.643741
2025-06-15 440.887976 785.043926 1261.163170 1934.645168 2829.479158 3945.740886 5410.298517
2025-06-22 414.587603 760.707213 1247.972770 1946.255681 2883.599266 4062.353477 5619.217642
2025-06-29 387.330018 733.101715 1228.661739 1948.253726 2924.177196 4161.330467 5806.105067
2025-07-06 342.949143 676.089314 1164.761192 1886.421713 2877.961832 4147.628548 5849.522006
2025-07-13 338.592042 681.888964 1191.560889 1950.767504 3000.804651 4352.216583 6171.141362
2025-07-20 325.722043 673.083478 1196.290854 1983.704655 3081.272307 4502.295775 6424.123319
2025-07-27 304.342363 648.918802 1177.049908 1981.671289 3113.612551 4589.442404 6596.645760
2025-08-03 281.264821 620.338173 1149.799063 1966.947511 3127.654392 4652.046117 6737.381875
2025-08-10 266.651647 605.270383 1142.380595 1980.313821 3180.064786 4765.176881 6943.895632
2025-08-17 247.488144 580.916302 1119.455180 1970.010143 3198.864284 4833.377176 7091.971785